7 февраля 2017 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Consumers have the spotlight

Below is a brief overview of our base-case, economic scenario for Ukraine over 2017–19. Domestic politics: A rather smooth ride. In our view, Ukraine's politicians will once again rej ...

ICUQtlyReport-20170207.pdf  (1.4mb)

10 ноября 2016 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

What President-elect Trump’s victory means for Ukraine's economy

What President-elect Trump’s victory means for Ukraine's economy Below, we offer our interpenetration of the rhetoric of US President-elect Donald Trump and his economic advisors during the campaign ...

ICUMacroInsight-20161110.pdf  (288.8kb)

17 октября 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

The patched road to reconstruction

Below is a brief overview of our base case scenario of Ukraine's economy for rest of 2016 and 2017-18. The economy: Growth momentum built in 2H15 receded in 1H16, amidst small fiscal stim ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160925-print.pdf  (1.5mb)

24 мая 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

A quiet recovery

Below is a brief overview of our base-case scenario of Ukraine's economy for 2016-18. State of the economy: The economy will recover, albeit slowly. Our analysis of the monthly data o ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160524.pdf  (1.3mb)

1 марта 2016 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Fortifying a fragile economy

This is a summary of our macro view for the next three-year period of 2016-18. Recent economic performance: Out of recession and resuming recovery. On February 15th, official statistic ...

ICUQtlyReport-20160301.pdf  (1.7mb)

1 октября 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Militarism fronts economic faults

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for rest of 2015 and 2016-18. Ukraine's domestic politics. The most recent developments in the parliament show that the incum ...

ICUQtlyReport-20151001.pdf  (1.3mb)

17 июня 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

17 июня 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)