Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting
| News | |||
Institute |
|||
| | Aims and principles | |
| | Who we are | |
Publications |
|||
| | Advisory papers | |
| | Books | |
| | IMU - Infrastructure Monitoring for Ukraine | |
| | MEFU - Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine | |
| | MEMU - Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine | |
| | QES - Quarterly Enterprise Survey | |
| | Working papers | |
| | Tax Revenue Outlook for Ukraine | |
| | Budget Review | |
Presentations |
|||
| | Conferences | |
| | Round tables | |
| | Expert's comment | |
| | Seminars | |
| Ukraine Daily News Monitor | |||
| SUE - Statistics of Ukraine's Economy | |||
| German Advisory Group | |||
| German-Ukrainian Policy Dialogue in Agriculture | |||
| European Union Co-ordination Project (EUCOP) | |||
| Friends | |||
| Vacancies | |||
| Links | |||
| Reytarska 8/5-À, 01034 Kyiv Tel.: + 38 044 278-63-42 + 38 044 278-63-60 Fax: + 38 044 278-63-36 E-mail: institute@ier.kiev.ua www.ier.kiev.ua |
|||
| |||
Tax Revenue Outlook for Ukraine |
Óêðà¿íñüêà |
Dear colleagues, From November, 2008 the Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting has changed the policy regarding the dissemination of the IER regular publications. From this date onwards the full version of publications will be available to subscribers only. Please contact Alina Dolya, Ukraine's civil servants are entitled to free of charge subscription to the IER regular publications. If you are a civil servant and want to receive the IER regular publications, please contact Viktoria Zhovtenko, Special subscription terms are also applied to the Partners of the Institute. For further details please contact Alina Dolya, Sincerely yours, |
No. 6
December, 2007
The revenues from enterprise profits tax are estimated by UAH 2.9 bn above the official plan in 2007, totaling UAH 31.8 bn.
The revenues from value added tax grow thanks to higher private consumption and imports, and will reach UAH 64.5 bn in 2007.
The revenues from personal income tax in 2007 are expected to reach UAH 35.5 bn that is UAH 3.0 bn higher than official plan.
For 2008 the revenues from enterprise profits tax are forecast to reach UAH 41.2 bn or 4.7% of GDP backed by continued growth of profits.
The expected continuation of consumption and import patterns allowed forecasting revenues from value added tax for 2008 at UAH 84.1 or 9.5% of GDP.
The revenues from personal income are forecast to reach UAH 47.8 bn in 2008.
The full version (77Kb)
No. 5
May, 2007
The EPT revenues are estimated at UAH 1.9 bn above the government target in 2007, totalling UAH 30.0 bn.
The VAT revenues continue to grow thanks to higher private consumption and imports, and will reach UAH 64.5 bn in 2007.
The PIT revenues in 2007 are expected to reach UAH 31.0 bn that is UAH 1.1 bn higher than government plan.
For 2008 the EPT revenues are forecast to reach UAH 35.5 bn or 4.5% of GDP.
The expected continuation of consumption and import patterns allowed forecasting the VAT revenues for 2008 at UAH 82.3 or 10.5% of GDP.
The PIT revenues are forecast to reach UAH 38.8 bn in 2008.
The full version (68Kb)
No. 4
October, 2006
In 2006 the under-execution of enterprise profit tax (EPT) revenues will be compensated by higher value added tax (VAT) revenues. That allows keeping the central fiscal deficit in limits foreseen in budget plan for 2006.
The EPT revenues will be UAH 1.1 bn below the government target in 2006, totalling UAH 24.4 bn.
The VAT revenues will continue to rise thanks to higher private consumption and imports, and reach UAH 43.6 bn in 2006.
Personal income tax (PIT) revenues in 2006 are expected to reach UAH 23.0 bn that exceeds the government plan.
The government plan of tax revenues for 2007 is realistic.
The EPT revenues for 2007 are forecast to reach UAH 25.0 bn or 4.2% of GDP, coinciding with the government plan.
The VAT revenues will continue to rise in 2007 reaching UAH 54.7 bn due to final consumption and imports growth.
The PIT revenues are forecast to reach UAH 28.8 bn in 2007.
The full version (64Kb)
No. 3
May, 2006
The revenues from enterprise profits and personal income taxes are overestimated by the government in 2006. The additional to the planned ñonsolidated fiscal deficit is significant and forecasted at UAH 2.6 bn (0.5% of GDP).
In 2006, the enterprise profit tax (EPT) revenues will be UAH 1.9 bn below the government target, totaling UAH 23.4 bn.
The value added tax (VAT) revenues for 2006 will continue to rise; and will be close to the government plan amounting to UAH 41.0 bn.
Personal income tax (PIT) revenues in 2006 are expected to reach UAH 20.6 bn, or UAH 0.7 bn below the government plan.
The EPT revenues, for 2007 will reach UAH 30.5 bn (5.0% of GDP).
The VAT revenues will amount UAH 51.3 bn in 2006 (8.4% of GDP) due to high imports growth.
The PIT revenues are forecast to reach UAH 24.3 bn (4.0% of GDP) in 2007.
The full version (74Kb)
No. 2
October, 2005
The enterprise profits tax (EPT) revenues for 2005 will be UAH 0.5 bn higher than budgeted, totalling UAH 20.0 bn.
In 2006 the EPT revenues will be UAH 0.9 bn lower than planned by the Ministry of Finance, totalling UAH 24.6 bn.
The value added tax (VAT) revenues for 2005 will amount to UAH 28.0 bn, which is below budget.
VAT revenues will continue to rise in 2005 and 2006 relative to GDP (to 6.7% and 7.4% respectively).
Personal income tax (PIT) revenues in 2005 are expected to reach UAH 17.1 bn, exceeding the Ministry of Finance's plan.
PIT revenues are forecast to reach UAH 20.4 bn in 2006.
The full version (70Kb)
No. 1
May, 2005
The VAT revenues in 2005 will amount to UAH 27.9 bn, which is below the government's plan.
In 2005 and 2006 the VAT revenues will continue to rise in relation to the GDP (to 6.5% and 7.0% respectively).
The IER forecasts PIT revenues at the level of UAH 16.9 bn, which is above the Ministry of Finance's plan.
In 2006 the PIT revenues will be lower by UAH 1.9 bn than in 2005, totaling UAH 15.0 bn.
The full version (71Kb)